Grant: Alliance Grants

The project aims to develop a coupled high-resolution land-atmosphere modeling system to evaluate the impact of climate change on wetland ecosystems in the Western Boreal Forest (WBF) of western Canada. Currently, there is a gap in research regarding the potential alterations in wetland distribution and abundance in the WBF due to climate change, which is crucial for preserving migratory bird habitats and fostering community development. Our project seeks to address this gap by employing innovative Earth-system modeling tools capable of simulating high-resolution wetland dynamics specific to the unique conditions of the WBF. Our approach involves developing a comprehensive methodology, including advanced refinement of the Noah-MP wetland module to incorporate additional factors pertinent to WBF conditions, such as soil organic carbon and permafrost, as well as the creation of a high-resolution dynamic wetland map for the WBF. The enhanced land-surface model will be coupled with a convection-permitting regional climate model, Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF), to conduct extensive analyses of wetland changes and their influence on regional climate at kilometer resolution. Throughout the project, we will actively engage with Indigenous communities to gain valuable insights into wetland dynamics and local climatic effects. This collaborative approach not only enhances scientific understanding but also facilitates practical applications in conservation planning. Partnering with Ducks Unlimited Canada (DUC), our project aligns with their commitment to wetland conservation and restoration. Their expertise and experience will significantly contribute to data collection, research processes, and the translation of findings into conservation strategies. The project's outcomes will advance understanding of boreal wetland dynamics and their response to climate change, benefiting wetland conservation organizations, government bodies, and industries. The findings will aid in the development and implementation of effective conservation plans by better understanding climate change risks to wetlands. Additionally, our wetland-climate modeling approach will benefit other conservation non-profit organizations and governments, contributing to Canada's climate resilience and conservation efforts.