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Grant: Discovery Grants Program - Individual

Université du Québec à Montréal

$14,000.00

Stochastic control and first passage time probabilities in finance

FY 2015-16

Summary
Many complex dynamic systems are modeled successfully by stochastic processes (ex.: stochastic differential equations) and this is particularly the case for stock markets. In a financial market, an investor might seek to establish a dynamic strategy allowing him to optimize a certain function of the expected terminal wealth (ex.: miminizing risk functions, maximizing expected utility ...). With this in mind, he must base his decisions on a continuously updated flow of information without being able to exactly predict future market fluctuations. This research program aims at developing innovative investment strategies under realistic constraints, either imposed by the investor or enforced by the market, while considering market models with (possibly unbounded) stochastic parameters. This can be achieved with breakthroughs in finding new optimal solutions to general stochastic control problems using more recent results in BSDE (backward stochastic differential equations) theory. Furthermore, by striving for solutions to more intricate first-passage time problems, this will ultimately lead to cutting-edge hybrid strategies where stopping time rules are incorporated as a safeguard against financial distress for cautious investors which main focus is their goal-achieving probability.
Program
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Location
Quebec, Canada
Recipient Type
Academia
Type
Grant
Source
NSERC's Awards Data

As published

Application id
RGPIN-2014-05206
Name nom
Watier, Francois
Department département
Mathematics
Organization id
57
Institution établissement
Université du Québec à Montréal
Province en
Québec
Province fr
Québec
Country en
CANADA
Country fr
CANADA
Fiscal year exercice financier
2015
Competition year année de concours
2014
Award amount
14000
Program id
RGPIN
Program name en
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Program name fr
Programme de subventions à la découverte - individuelles
Group en
Discovery grants programs
Group fr
Programmes de subventions à la découverte
Committee code
1508
Committee name en
Mathematics and Statistics
Committee name fr
Mathématiques et statistique
Area of application code
1205
Area of application group en
Advancement of knowledge
Area of application group fr
Avancement des connaissances
Area of application en
Mathematical sciences
Area of application fr
Sciences mathématiques
Research subject code
3008
Research subject group en
Statistics and probability
Research subject group fr
Statistique et probabilité
Research subject en
Applied probability
Research subject fr
Probabilité appliquée
Partie
2
Nb partie
5
Application title
Stochastic control and first passage time probabilities in finance
Keyword
NSERC
Application summary
Many complex dynamic systems are modeled successfully by stochastic processes (ex.: stochastic differential equations) and this is particularly the case for stock markets. In a financial market, an investor might seek to establish a dynamic strategy allowing him to optimize a certain function of the expected terminal wealth (ex.: miminizing risk functions, maximizing expected utility ...). With this in mind, he must base his decisions on a continuously updated flow of information without being able to exactly predict future market fluctuations. This research program aims at developing innovative investment strategies under realistic constraints, either imposed by the investor or enforced by the market, while considering market models with (possibly unbounded) stochastic parameters. This can be achieved with breakthroughs in finding new optimal solutions to general stochastic control problems using more recent results in BSDE (backward stochastic differential equations) theory. Furthermore, by striving for solutions to more intricate first-passage time problems, this will ultimately lead to cutting-edge hybrid strategies where stopping time rules are incorporated as a safeguard against financial distress for cautious investors which main focus is their goal-achieving probability.