Grant: Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Université d'Ottawa
$35,750.00
Probabilistic methods for analyzing complex random phenomena using stochastic PDEs and heavy-tailed time series
EF 2023-24
Résumé
This research program will focus on problems in two distinct areas: (I) Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs); (II) Heavy-Tailed Time Series. (I) SPDEs are mathematical objects that are used for modeling the behavior of physical phenomena which are subject to random perturbations. Two fundamental examples are the wave equation and the heat equation. In the classical theory, these equations are perturbed by a Gaussian white noise. When the noise is colored in time (for instance when the noise is fractional in time with Hurst index greater than 1/2), the existence of solutions of the nonlinear equations is an open problem, except in the case of the parabolic/hyperbolic Anderson model (pAm/hAm). The goals of this research program are to develop a unified theory for the study of random models driven by general classes of noise processes. When the noise is white in time and rough in space (i.e. fractional in space with Hurst index less than 1/2), we will prove a new quantitative central limit theorem for the spatial integral of the solution, using tools from Malliavin calculus. Another component of the program will be dedicated to the study of SPDEs driven by colored Levy noise with finite variance, or with heavy-tailed Levy noise. These investigations will constitute significant advancements of the theory of SPDEs and will lead to a deeper understanding of the effect of the noise on the behavior of the solution. Training of HQP is an essential component of this proposal. Current PhD student Liang studies the continuity in law of the solutions of pAm and hAm driven by space-time homogeneous Gaussian noise, with respect to the parameters of the noise. Current PhD student Jimenez investigates SPDEs driven by Levy noise. A future PhD student will investigate the exact asymptotic behavior of the moments of the solution of hAm with colored noise in time. A future MSc student will study the applications of Malliavin calculus in finance. A future undergraduate student will study Black-Scholes formula for the price of an European call option. (II) Distributions with heavy (i.e. regularly varying) tails are encountered frequently in many applications. In higher dimensions, this leads to the concept of multivariate regular variation. This theory has been extended to the infinite-dimensional framework, by considering regular variation for processes with values in the Skorohod space D of right-continuous functions with left limits. A future PhD student will investigate in depth the asymptotic theory for the sum and maximum associated with various time series models based on regularly varying processes with values in D, such as stochastic recurrence models, or bilinear models. A future MSc student will study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum of independent identically distributed random vectors using the concept of multivariate regular variation, and will provide an infinite-dimensional extension of this result.
Programme
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Bénéficiaire
Emplacement
Ontario, Canada
Type de bénéficiaire
Academia
Type
Grant
Source
NSERC's Awards Data
Tel que publié
Application id
RGPIN-2023-03409
Name nom
Balan, Raluca
Department département
Department of Mathematics
Organization id
28
Institution établissement
Université d'Ottawa
Province en
Ontario
Province fr
Ontario
Country en
CANADA
Country fr
CANADA
Fiscal year exercice financier
2023
Competition year année de concours
2023
Award amount
35750
Program id
RGPIN
Program name en
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Program name fr
Programme de subventions à la découverte - individuelles
Group en
DISCOVERY RESEARCH
Group fr
RECHERCHE AXÉE SUR LA DÉCOUVERTE
Committee code
1508
Committee name en
Mathematics and Statistics
Committee name fr
Mathématiques et statistique
Area of application code
1205
Area of application group en
Advancement of knowledge
Area of application group fr
Avancement des connaissances
Area of application en
Mathematical sciences
Area of application fr
Sciences mathématiques
Research subject code
9999
Research subject group en
Not available
Research subject group fr
Not available
Research subject en
Non disponible
Research subject fr
Non disponible
Application title
Probabilistic methods for analyzing complex random phenomena using stochastic PDEs and heavy-tailed time series
Keyword
fractional Brownian motion; hyperbolic Anderson model; Levy processes; limit theorems; Malliavin calculus; parabolic Anderson model; random fields; regular variation; stochastic partial differential equations; time series
Application summary
This research program will focus on problems in two distinct areas: (I) Stochastic Partial Differential Equations (SPDEs); (II) Heavy-Tailed Time Series. (I) SPDEs are mathematical objects that are used for modeling the behavior of physical phenomena which are subject to random perturbations. Two fundamental examples are the wave equation and the heat equation. In the classical theory, these equations are perturbed by a Gaussian white noise. When the noise is colored in time (for instance when the noise is fractional in time with Hurst index greater than 1/2), the existence of solutions of the nonlinear equations is an open problem, except in the case of the parabolic/hyperbolic Anderson model (pAm/hAm). The goals of this research program are to develop a unified theory for the study of random models driven by general classes of noise processes. When the noise is white in time and rough in space (i.e. fractional in space with Hurst index less than 1/2), we will prove a new quantitative central limit theorem for the spatial integral of the solution, using tools from Malliavin calculus. Another component of the program will be dedicated to the study of SPDEs driven by colored Levy noise with finite variance, or with heavy-tailed Levy noise. These investigations will constitute significant advancements of the theory of SPDEs and will lead to a deeper understanding of the effect of the noise on the behavior of the solution. Training of HQP is an essential component of this proposal. Current PhD student Liang studies the continuity in law of the solutions of pAm and hAm driven by space-time homogeneous Gaussian noise, with respect to the parameters of the noise. Current PhD student Jimenez investigates SPDEs driven by Levy noise. A future PhD student will investigate the exact asymptotic behavior of the moments of the solution of hAm with colored noise in time. A future MSc student will study the applications of Malliavin calculus in finance. A future undergraduate student will study Black-Scholes formula for the price of an European call option. (II) Distributions with heavy (i.e. regularly varying) tails are encountered frequently in many applications. In higher dimensions, this leads to the concept of multivariate regular variation. This theory has been extended to the infinite-dimensional framework, by considering regular variation for processes with values in the Skorohod space D of right-continuous functions with left limits. A future PhD student will investigate in depth the asymptotic theory for the sum and maximum associated with various time series models based on regularly varying processes with values in D, such as stochastic recurrence models, or bilinear models. A future MSc student will study the asymptotic behavior of the maximum of independent identically distributed random vectors using the concept of multivariate regular variation, and will provide an infinite-dimensional extension of this result.