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Grant: Discovery Grants Program - Individual

Carleton University

$47,960.00

Modelling glacier and ice sheet response to climate change

EF 2024-25

Résumé
Glaciers and ice sheets are declining worldwide due to climate change, contributing to global sea level rise and threatening freshwater security in many of the world's mountain regions. The rate of glacier mass loss has accelerated over the last 30 years, partly due to rising temperatures and partly due to positive feedbacks associated with glacier response to climate change. Within these positive feedbacks, albedo reductions are widely reported due to a variety of mechanisms, including increased biological and algal activity, dust loading from freshly deglaciated terrain, enhanced concentrations of impurities due to higher melt, and a greater temporal and spatial extent of exposed glacier ice, which has a lower albedo than seasonal snow or firn. In some regions, glaciers are also subject to more frequent wildfire deposition in recent years, which includes organic matter and black carbon that can contribute significantly to glacier `darkening'. Increased understanding of these different processes is important for improved projections of glacier and ice sheet response to climate change and to attribute the magnitude of glacier change that is due to climate forcing vs. feedbacks. Current models of glacier melt and mass balance use simplified approaches that don't explicitly include albedo or treat it as a constant. This neglects the seasonal evolution, interannual variability, and potential long-term trends in surface albedo that may be important to adequately capture glacier sensitivity to climate change. The over-simplification in melt models is largely a matter of complexity. The sources of impurities, their radiative properties, and processes of deposition, concentration, and `cleansing' from snowmelt- or rainfall-runoff likely differ across glacier sites and are not easily modelled. Parameterizations developed for one glacier are not likely transferable to different environments. The proposed research aims to study seasonal and interannual albedo variability, the chemical composition and concentrations of impurities in supraglacial snow, firn, and ice, and processes of impurity loading and flushing at glacier sites in western and Arctic Canada. Albedo monitoring through the melt season will be supplemented by surface sampling, modelling of atmospheric deposition, and the development of a numerical model of albedo evolution as a function of impurity content. These process models will be added to an existing model of glacier energy and mass balance developed by my research group, and the mass balance model is coupled with a model of glacier dynamics for simulation of glacier response to climate change under different climate scenarios. The long-term objective is to embed the glacier system model in high-resolution Earth system models for improved weather, climate, and hydrological predictions that better account for albedo feedbacks that are known to accelerate glacier and ice sheet melt.
Programme
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Bénéficiaire
Emplacement
Ontario, Canada
Type de bénéficiaire
Academia
Type
Grant
Source
NSERC's Awards Data

Tel que publié

Application id
RGPIN-2024-05876
Name nom
Marshall, Shawn
Department département
Geography and Environmental Studies
Organization id
23
Institution établissement
Carleton University
Province en
Ontario
Province fr
Ontario
Country en
CANADA
Country fr
CANADA
Fiscal year exercice financier
2024
Competition year année de concours
2024
Award amount
47960
Program id
RGPIN
Program name en
Discovery Grants Program - Individual
Program name fr
Programme de subventions à la découverte - individuelles
Group en
DISCOVERY RESEARCH
Group fr
RECHERCHE AXÉE SUR LA DÉCOUVERTE
Committee code
1506
Committee name en
Geosciences
Committee name fr
Géosciences
Area of application code
401
Area of application group en
Environment
Area of application group fr
Environnement
Area of application en
Climate and atmosphere
Area of application fr
Climat et atmosphère
Research subject code
4013
Research subject group en
Earth science
Research subject group fr
Sciences de la terre
Research subject en
Earth-systems science
Research subject fr
Sciences des systèmes terrestres
Field of research list names en
Not available
Field of research list names fr
Non disponible
Socioeconomic objective list names en
Not available
Socioeconomic objective list names fr
Non disponible
Application title
Modelling glacier and ice sheet response to climate change
Keywords
glaciology; climate change; numerical modelling; glacier mass balance; cryosphere; cryosphere-climate processes; albedo; greenland ice sheet; ice sheet hydrology; ice sheet thermodynamics
Application summary
Glaciers and ice sheets are declining worldwide due to climate change, contributing to global sea level rise and threatening freshwater security in many of the world's mountain regions. The rate of glacier mass loss has accelerated over the last 30 years, partly due to rising temperatures and partly due to positive feedbacks associated with glacier response to climate change. Within these positive feedbacks, albedo reductions are widely reported due to a variety of mechanisms, including increased biological and algal activity, dust loading from freshly deglaciated terrain, enhanced concentrations of impurities due to higher melt, and a greater temporal and spatial extent of exposed glacier ice, which has a lower albedo than seasonal snow or firn. In some regions, glaciers are also subject to more frequent wildfire deposition in recent years, which includes organic matter and black carbon that can contribute significantly to glacier `darkening'. Increased understanding of these different processes is important for improved projections of glacier and ice sheet response to climate change and to attribute the magnitude of glacier change that is due to climate forcing vs. feedbacks. Current models of glacier melt and mass balance use simplified approaches that don't explicitly include albedo or treat it as a constant. This neglects the seasonal evolution, interannual variability, and potential long-term trends in surface albedo that may be important to adequately capture glacier sensitivity to climate change. The over-simplification in melt models is largely a matter of complexity. The sources of impurities, their radiative properties, and processes of deposition, concentration, and `cleansing' from snowmelt- or rainfall-runoff likely differ across glacier sites and are not easily modelled. Parameterizations developed for one glacier are not likely transferable to different environments. The proposed research aims to study seasonal and interannual albedo variability, the chemical composition and concentrations of impurities in supraglacial snow, firn, and ice, and processes of impurity loading and flushing at glacier sites in western and Arctic Canada. Albedo monitoring through the melt season will be supplemented by surface sampling, modelling of atmospheric deposition, and the development of a numerical model of albedo evolution as a function of impurity content. These process models will be added to an existing model of glacier energy and mass balance developed by my research group, and the mass balance model is coupled with a model of glacier dynamics for simulation of glacier response to climate change under different climate scenarios. The long-term objective is to embed the glacier system model in high-resolution Earth system models for improved weather, climate, and hydrological predictions that better account for albedo feedbacks that are known to accelerate glacier and ice sheet melt.